Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.052234 0.056711 0.061244 0.066168 0.071360 0.076665 0.082486
2025-03-23 0.045973 0.052598 0.059539 0.067327 0.075794 0.084693 0.094729
2025-03-30 0.041007 0.049173 0.057992 0.068163 0.079508 0.091714 0.105779
2025-04-06 0.036407 0.045624 0.055862 0.067967 0.081779 0.096941 0.114736
2025-04-13 0.033727 0.043934 0.055553 0.069584 0.085898 0.104104 0.125791
2025-04-20 0.030217 0.040950 0.053471 0.068911 0.087195 0.107923 0.132962
2025-04-27 0.027748 0.038992 0.052403 0.069252 0.089526 0.112825 0.141307
2025-05-04 0.026067 0.037850 0.052189 0.070499 0.092840 0.118816 0.150892
2025-05-11 0.025017 0.037406 0.052749 0.072625 0.097167 0.125987 0.161880
2025-05-18 0.022031 0.034250 0.049740 0.070179 0.095808 0.126283 0.164645
2025-05-25 0.020206 0.032503 0.048408 0.069727 0.096805 0.129340 0.170659
2025-06-01 0.018529 0.030841 0.047086 0.069198 0.097632 0.132137 0.176322
2025-06-08 0.017988 0.030757 0.047870 0.071440 0.102036 0.139444 0.187648
2025-06-15 0.017108 0.030136 0.047896 0.072670 0.105157 0.145195 0.197129
2025-06-22 0.016176 0.029377 0.047685 0.073556 0.107821 0.150384 0.205951
2025-06-29 0.014955 0.028107 0.046703 0.073351 0.109035 0.153736 0.212498
2025-07-06 0.014441 0.027871 0.047143 0.075057 0.112741 0.160247 0.223017
2025-07-13 0.013228 0.026473 0.045862 0.074348 0.113221 0.162634 0.228358
2025-07-20 0.012422 0.025662 0.045382 0.074707 0.115095 0.166788 0.235932
2025-07-27 0.011943 0.025344 0.045597 0.076021 0.118238 0.172581 0.245597
2025-08-03 0.011742 0.025471 0.046466 0.078260 0.122644 0.180033 0.257420
2025-08-10 0.010320 0.023445 0.044013 0.075684 0.120439 0.178837 0.258151
2025-08-17 0.009521 0.022431 0.043051 0.075208 0.121071 0.181324 0.263598